Statistical Analysis of Extremes in Geophysical Science Reading/Working Group
Topics for this group may include:
- Extreme-value statistical theory
- Extremes in meteorology and/or climatology
- Societal impacts of extreme weather events
- Forecast verification for extreme events
- Software for statistics of extremes
We are currently doing a short series on large-scale indicators for severe weather.
History of this Group
This group was started as a reading group by
Philippe Naveau at the University of Colorado here in Boulder, Colorado in 2003 to augment a course he was teaching at the time on Extreme Value Analysis.
Rick Katz continued the group here at NCAR for a few months, and then after a short hiatus, the group was re-formed in 2005 by
Eric Gilleland at NCAR with help from Rick Katz and
Dan Cooley. The idea at this time was to be a reading and working group with a focus on connecting extreme value analysis and possible applications between atmospheric scientists and statisticians. The group has evolved over time since then, and is now mostly a reading and seminar group, but still with the same goal.
Lists from other sources
[Papers relating extreme value theory to climate change from Rick Katz]
Some Paper Ideas
A beer glass (
) by a paper indicates papers for upcoming sessions.
Chandler, RE. 2005. On the use of generalized linear models for interpreting climate variability. Environmetrics 16(7):699--715.
Coles S, JA Tawn. 1996. Modelling Extremes of the Areal Rainfall Process. J.R. Statist. Soc., Series B 58(2):329--347.
Fuhrer J, M Beniston, A Fischlin, C Frei, S Goyette, K Jasper, and C Phister (2006). Climate risks and their impact on agriculture and forests in Switzerland. Climate Change 79:79--102 doi 10.1007/s10584-006-9106-6.
Huntingford C, Jones RG, Prudhomme C, Lamb R, Gash JHC, and Jones DA. 2003. Regional climate-model predictions of extreme rainfall for a changing climate. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc. 129:1607--1621.
Marsh, P.T., Brooks, H.E., Karoly, D.J., 2007. Assessment of the severe weather environment in North America simulated by a global climate model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 8 (4): 100 - 106.
Marsh, P.T., Brooks, H.E., Karoly, D.J., 2009. Preliminary investigation into the severe thunderstorm environment of Europe simulated by the community climate system model 3. Atmospheric Research, 93 (1 - 3): 607 - 618.
Turkman, K.F., M.A. Amaral Turkman, and J.M. Pereira, 2010. Asymptotic models and inferences for extremes of spatio-temporal data. Extremes, 13:375--397.
Westra, S. and S.A. Sisson, 2011. Detection of non-stationarity in precipitation extremes using a max-stable process model. J. Hydrol., 406, 119--128. doi:10.1016/j.hydrol.2011.06.014
Contact
To subscribe to this reading/seminar group's email list [click here].* It is also a good idea to send an email to Eric Gilleland to explain who you are and why you want to be on the list to help protect against spam.
*No information is kept except your email address, and only to keep you informed about the group (meeting announcements, schedule/web changes, etc.). If you decide you do not want to be on the list, or you have been put on the list erroneously, send Eric Gilleland an email requesting to be taken off of the list.