Spatial Forecast Verification Methods Inter-Comparison Project
Weather and Forecasting Special Collection
The special collection of papers for the ICP of the Weather and Forecasting (WAF) journal of the American Meteorological Society will be published soon, and are available from here.
The collection consists of papers that apply specific methods to the WRF "real" and perturbed cases, as well as the idealized geometric test cases of the ICP (see the Test Cases section of this web site). There is also an overall literature review with general qualitative comparisons (Gilleland et al., 2009a), as well as a paper describing the data sets, applying traditional verification to these cases, and describing subjective evaluations, performed at the first ICP meeting, of the "real" WRF test cases (Ahijevych et al., 2009). Below is the list of papers currently in preparation, submitted, and accepted for the collection.
List of papers
Ahijevych, D., E. Gilleland, B.G. Brown, and E.E. Ebert, 2009: Application of spatial verification methods to idealized and NWP gridded precipitation forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 24 (6), 1485--1497 (Available at Early Online Release pdf)
Brill, K.F. and F. Mesinger, 2009: Applying a General Analytic Method for Assessing Bias Sensitivity to Bias Adjusted Threat and Equitable Threat Scores. Accepted (Available at Early Online Release pdf).
Casati, B., 2009: New Developments of the Intensity-Scale Technique within the Spatial Verification Methods Inter-Comparison Project. Accepted (Available at Early Online Release pdf).
Davis, C.A., B.G. Brown, R.G. Bullock and J. Halley Gotway, 2009: The Method for Object-based Diagnostic Evaluation (MODE) Applied to Numerical Forecasts from the 2005 NSSL/SPC Spring Program. Wea. Forecasting, 24 (5), 1416--1430, 24 (5), 1252--1267, DOI: 10.1175/2009WAF2222241.1.
Ebert, E.E. and W.A. Gallus, Jr., 2009: Toward better understanding of the contiguous rain area (CRA) method for spatial forecast verification. Wea. Forecasting., 24 (5), 1401--1415, DOI: 10.1175/2009WAF2222269.1.
Ebert, E.E., 2009: Neighborhood verification - a strategy for rewarding close forecasts. Accepted. (Available at Early Online Release pdf)
Gilleland, E., D. Ahijevych, B.G. Brown, B. Casati, and E.E. Ebert, 2009a: Intercomparison of Spatial Forecast Verification Methods. Wea. Forecasting, 24 (5), 1416--1430, DOI: 10.1175/2009WAF2222269.1.
Gilleland, E., J. Lindström, and F. Lindgren, 2009b: Analyzing the image warp forecast verification method on precipitation fields from the ICP. Submitted (pdf)
Gilleland, E., D.A. Ahijevych, B.G. Brown and E.E. Ebert, 2009c: Verifying Forecasts Spatially. Submitted to Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (pdf)
Keil, C. and G.C. Craig, 2009: A displacement and amplitude score employing an optical flow technique. Wea. Forecasting, 24 (5), 1297--1308, DOI: 10.1175/2009WAF2222247.1.
Lack, S., G.L. Limpert and N.I. Fox, 2009: An object-oriented multiscale verification scheme. Accepted. (Available at Early Online Release pdf)
Lakshmanan, V. and J.S. Kain, 2009: A Gaussian Mixture Model Approach to Forecast Verification. Submitted (pdf)
Marzban, C., S. Sandgathe, H. Lyons, and N. Lederer, 2009: Three Spatial Verification Techniques: Cluster Analysis, Variogram, and Optical Flow. Accepted. (Availabele at Early Online Release pdf)
Mittermaier, M.P. and N. Roberts, 2009: Intercomparison of Spatial Forecast Verification Methods: Identifying skillful spatial scales using the Fractions Skill Score. Accepted. (Available at Early Online Release pdf)
Nachamkin, J.E., 2009: Application of the Composite Method to the Spatial Forecast Verification Methods Inter-Comparison Dataset. Wea. Forecasting, 24 (5), 1390--1400, DOI: 10.1175/2009WAF2222225.1.
Wernli, H., C. Hofmann, and M. Zimmer, 2009: Spatial forecast verification methods inter-comparison project -- application of the SAL technique. Accepted. (Available at Early Online Release pdf)